February, 22, 2024
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Sindh's Elections: Karachi's High-Stakes Battle

Sindh Elections: Karachi’s High-Stakes Battle

Infostani International: With the Sindh general elections approaching, the political landscape in Karachi is characterized by fierce competition between anti-Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) factions and the PPP itself. The Grand Democratic Alliance (GDA), MQM, JI, PTI, PML-N, TLP, and JUI-F are set for a close electoral battle. Analysts predict no clear majority, emphasizing intricate dynamics in key constituencies. This analysis explores the evolving political scenario as parties vie for success in the upcoming elections.


Electoral Dynamics in Sindh: Anticipating a Shift in Power and Key Contests

As the general elections in Sindh approach, the electoral focus continues to be the clash between political parties opposing the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) and the PPP itself, with Karachi being a crucial battleground. The PPP is set to contend for 168 seats in the Sindh Assembly on Feb 8, facing competition from the Grand Democratic Alliance (GDA), led by Pir Pagara, Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM), Jamaat-e-Islami (JI), Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan (TLP), and Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam Fazl (JUI-F).

The prospect of the PPP maintaining its political dominance in Sindh and Karachi is uncertain, according to Dr. Kamran Khan, an assistant professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of Karachi. He predicts that no party will secure a majority in the city this time, with MQM and JI posing significant challenges, and legal issues potentially hindering PTI’s performance.

Senior journalist and political analyst Nawab Qureshi concurs, highlighting a perceived lack of solutions for Karachi’s problems, making the political landscape seem uncertain. Predicting a split in the election results, Qureshi believes no single party will secure a majority in the province.

Contrarily, journalist Muneer Uddin believes that PPP holds an advantage in certain seats in Karachi, particularly in Malir and Kemari districts, although religious vote banks could influence outcomes.

Sindh's Elections: Karachi's High-Stakes Battle
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Electoral Battlegrounds Across Karachi and Beyond: Anticipated Contests in District South, District East, and Larkana Division

In Karachi’s District South, analyst Saeed Jan Baloch anticipates intriguing contests on various provincial assembly seats, especially PS 106, 107, 108, 109, and 110, involving JI, PPP, and an independent Shakur Shad group.

District East is expected to witness significant contests on PS 105 between PPP’s Saeed Ghani and GDA’s Irfanullah Marwat, as well as competition between MQM, JI, PML-N, PTI, and others on PS 99 to PS 103 seats.

The electoral landscape extends beyond Karachi, with Bilawal Bhutto Zardari facing tough competition in the Larkana Division’s NA 194 and NA 196 seats. Noteworthy matchups include JUI-F versus PPP in NA 201 (Sukkur) and PML-N versus PPP in NA 216 (Matiari District).

Divergent Views on Sindh’s Electoral Landscape: Perspectives on PPP’s Prospects and Rival Claims

While some analysts predict tough contests, Abdul Majeed Chandio believes PPP will maintain its winning streak in Sindh. The influence of electables from influential families plays a significant role, despite criticism of family or community-based politics by some analysts.

Electoral rivals, including MQM, JI, PTI, and PML-N, express confidence in their strategies and the potential for surprises. However, PPP’s Karachi President Saeed Ghani dismisses their claims, asserting that his party is well-positioned to retain control of Sindh on election day.